Much has been written about the 2013 Iron Bowl, the game that won an ESPY for “Game of the Year” thanks to the play that won an ESPY for "Play of the Year." Chris Davis' game-winning 109-yard field goal return for a touchdown ended Alabama’s hopes for a third straight National Championship, and completed one of the biggest single-season turnarounds in NCAA history. But the … [Read more...] about What was the probability of an Auburn win before each snap of the 2013 Iron Bowl? Now we know.
Mac Mirabile's Predict-o-nomics
In our first "Beat The Model" Bowl Mania challenge, Dale Hargis (djhargis87) picked 24 of 35 games correctly and with a careful selection of confidence points bested both iterations of The Model and the entire TWER staff. TWER columnist Mac Mirabile sat down with Dale to learn a little about the man and his strategy. TWER: Tell TWER readers a little bit about … [Read more...] about ‘You’ll never win without a gamble,’ challenge winner says
The Picks Auburn vs. Oregon (Auburn -2.5, 74) - 7:30PM CT For this week's pick, I'm debuting Model 2.0 because quite frankly The Original Model's prediction was a little upsetting. I'd like to stress that I did not introduce any bias or favoritism into Model 2.0, I did, however, rework exactly what I am modeling. The Original Model is a regression model where my … [Read more...] about Championship Predict-O-Nomics: A Tale of Two Models
We neglected to post Predict-O-Nomics last week... which is a shame: The Model was uncannily accurate. Sadly, if the uncanniness holds, Ohio State will finally beat an SEC team by 1 pt. His final bowl preview will be posted on time. The Picks Outback Bowl, 1/1/2011 Penn State vs. Florida (Penn State +7, 48) – 12:00PM CT Each at 7-5 and 4-4 in conference, … [Read more...] about Predict-O-Nomics (Belated) Bowl Preview (2/3) – Outback, Capital One, Gator
Music City Bowl, 12/30/2010 North Carolina vs. Tennessee (UT +1.5, 50) – 5:30PM CT By all accounts, this looks to be a pretty good matchup – both North Carolina and Tennessee rely heavily on the passing game, and neither has a particularly stout defense. Both teams have been remarkably inconsistent this year. North Carolina managed to beat a ranked Florida State team on … [Read more...] about Predict-O-Nomics Bowl Preview (1/3) – Music City, Liberty, Chick-fil-a