Like flowers in the spring, Auburn fans have finally started sticking their heads back up above ground and asking “Is it football season?” Hope springs eternal in the fall, especially with new coach Gus Malzahn back in Auburn– and, this time, with no one to tell him to slow down the offense.
Introducing the Gus-o-meter
This year we will be introducing a new feature to our weekly columns here at the War Eagle Reader. We will be measure how many plays Auburn runs on offense each week and comparing the result to how fast Auburn wants to go. Gus has stated that his goal is 80 plays per game on offense (or faster). That would make the Tigers one of the three or four fastest teams in college football. This graphic is intended to show you how close Auburn came to that goal each week.
Preview: Washington State Cougars
2012 Record: The “Cougs” went 3-9 in Mike Leach’s first season as coach. (Hey, that number sounds somehow hauntingly familiar.) The lone bright spot was a win in the “Apple Cup” over Washington at the end of the year. The low spot was easy – a loss to Colorado. Yes, they lost to Colorado.
Starters returning: Offense 7; Defense 9.
The WSU offense is about as one dimensional as it gets – it passed for ELEVEN TIMES as many yards as it ran for. Wow. Most of the problem is the fact that the WSU running game was the worst in Division I. They averaged 29 yards a game and 1.3 yards per rushing attempt. Yes, you read that correctly. But the passing offense put up big numbers against some good teams – more than 400 yards and 2 touchdowns each against Oregon, Stanford and UCLA. (WSU lost all three games, too – but they did hang with Stanford and only lost by a score of 24-17. We suppose this was their version of Auburn-LSU.)
The offensive line is comprised of three former walk-ons and several undersized players. The center is 274 pounds and the right guard is 259 pounds. That would be pretty intimidating if this were 1946. Can they block Auburn’s defensive tackles? Can they protect quarterback Connor Halliday if he passes 60 times?
Who should Auburn fans watch out for? WSU will play a lot of guys at receiver but Dominique Williams was the guy down the stretch for this team last year.
WSU plays a 3-4 defense and was an attacking, high-risk/high-reward type of unit last year. They were in the top 20 in both sacks and tackles for losses – but also allowed a ton of big plays to other offenses. Playing the spread offenses of the Pac-12 was good preparation for Gus Malzahn’s Auburn offense. The defense has a lot of experience – but that experience consists of many of the same players who allowed 33 points per game last year.
The key to the game may be which team tackles in space better. Both offenses want to get the skill players the ball in space and let them make plays with it. And so the winner should be determined by which team can make tackles and limit those plays. This is obviously something Auburn has struggled with the last few years, so we have to hope that the new defensive staff has made a difference in this area. Otherwise it’s going to be a long night and the scoreboard may need to add some digits.
We think Auburn will be able to run the ball consistently, make some big plays with play action passing and make enough tackles in space to hold on and win what should be a really fun game to watch. In particular keep an eye on Nick Marshall running naked bootlegs and play actions off the bootleg. Sending him around containment and opening any kind of holes for him on the edge could result in big plays for the Tigers.
What Else is Happening in Week 1 in the SEC?
UGA at Clemson: A shootout between two great offenses and two suspect defenses. We like the home team, Clemson. Well, when we say “like,” we mean we favor for predictive purposes. Who actually “likes” Clemson as long as they have Dabo in charge? But this should be fun and probably the non-Auburn highlight game of week 1.
Alabama vs Virginia Tech (in Atlanta). Scot Loeffler’s big shot at revenge! …um, no. This will not be competitive.
Oklahoma State vs Mississippi State (in Houston): We like the cowboys over the cowbells. Big. The future of Dan Mullen at MSU is very murky at the moment. Can routine fifth/sixth/seventh place finishes in the SEC West keep the Bulldog fan base (assuming there is such a thing) happy forever? Do they believe the day will ever come that he will lead them to Atlanta?
Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt: When did you ever think you’d say, “Oooh, let’s hurry home, or set the DVR—don’t want to miss Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt!!” But this could be a really good and very interesting game. We narrowly favor Ole Miss. But you certainly can’t take Vandy for granted anymore.
The Wishbone Power Rankings
The Elite:
Alabama
South Carolina
The Very Good:
UGA
LSU
Texas A&M (if Manziel plays)
The Good:
Florida
Ole Miss
The Not-So-Good:
Vanderbilt
Auburn
Tennessee
Missouri
Arkansas
MSU
The Wretched:
Kentucky
Previous Wishbone: A New Day: The Wishbone’s 2013 Auburn Tigers Preview.
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Van Allen Plexico managed to attend Auburn (and score student football tickets) for some portion of every year between 1986 and 1996. He realizes that’s probably not something one should brag about, but hey. He teaches college near St Louis (because ten years as a student was somehow just not enough time to spend at school) and writes and edits for a variety of publishers. Find links to his various projects at www.plexico.net.
John Ringer graduated from Auburn in 1991 (which may be the greatest time ever to be an Auburn student – SEC titles in 1987, 88 and 89 and the 1989 Iron Bowl). His family has had season tickets every year since well before he was born and he grew up wandering around Jordan-Hare on game days. He currently lives in Richmond, Virginia where he spends way too much time reading about college football on the internet and teaching his children to love Auburn football.
Previous Wishbone columns are waiting for you here.
Order The Wishbone’s Decades of Dominance: Auburn Football in the Modern Era.
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Keep Reading:
* Football rankings guru Richard Billingsley says Auburn should claim century-old crown: ‘My national championship for Auburn in 1913 is a very valid national championship’
* Auburn wore green jerseys TWICE in the 1930s
* Auburn coach car endorsements of yesteryear
* Gus Malzahn in college
* That time a cow won Miss Auburn
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WDE! I’m on the Gus bus an excited about him as our new coach! Looking forward to some good football’!!!!!
I didn’t realize until yesterday that the Ole Miss/Vandy game comes on so early. It was a moment of pure joy when I realized I was getting college football earlier than I originally thought.